Livent: What does the new year bring?

by Sentiment Analyst |

Livent: How to evaluate the price?

Trend-following indicators are designed to show whether a security is currently in an upward or downward trend (see Wikipedia). The moving average is one such indicator; here we look at the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. First, let’s take a look at the longer-term average over the last 200 trading days. For Livent stock, this is currently $26.84. The last closing price (USD 26.9) is thus at a similar level (+0.22 percent deviation in comparison). On this basis, Livent thus receives a “hold” rating. Now a look at the shorter-term 50-day moving averageThis is currently USD 30.31, so the last closing price is below it (-11.25 percent). This means that on this shorter-term analysis basis, a different rating for Livent emerges, with the stock receiving a “Sell” rating. In sum, Livent is given a “hold” rating based on trend-following indicators.

Share price return not in line with market

The stock has returned 27.02 percent over the past year. Compared to stocks in the same sector (“materials”), Livent is 36.93 percent below average (63.96 percent). The median annual return for securities in the same sector “Chemicals” is 63.96 percent. Livent is currently 36.93 percent below this figure. Due to the underperformance, we rate the stock an overall “Sell” at this level.

Too much of a good thing – the stock is overbought

The Relative Strength Index, abbreviated as RSI, indexes the movements of stock prices over a 7-day period by relating the upward movements to the number of movements. The standard range is from 0 to 100, The RSI of Livent is 76, which means that the situation is considered overbought. This results in a rating as “Sell”. The RSI25 extends the calculation period to 25 days. The RSI for Livent is 52.47. This is considered an indicator of neither an overbought nor an oversold situation, which is assigned a “Hold” rating. Overall, we therefore assign a “Sell” rating for this category.

How does the social media judge Livent?

The mood on social networks has been predominantly negative in recent days. On two days, the discussion was dominated by positive topics, while negative communication prevailed on 12 days. In recent days, investors also increasingly talked about negative topics related to the company Livent. As a result, the editorial team rates the share with a “Sell”. In summary, this results in a “Sell” rating for investor sentiment.

What are the analysts’ views?

A total of 2 analyst ratings have been issued for Livent stock in the last twelve months. Of these, 0 ratings were “Buy,” 1 were “Hold,” and 1 were “Sell.” In summary, this results in a “Hold” rating for Livent stock. There are no analyst updates on Livent from the last month. Within the ratings conducted by analysts, the average price target was $23. The security thus has a downside potential of -14.5 percent, based on the last closing price (USD 26.9). This results in a “Sell” recommendation. The bottom line is that Livent thus receives a “Hold” rating for this point of the analysis.

How are investors discussing the stock?

During the past few weeks, there has been no clear change in communication about Livent on social media. There has been no fundamental shift toward overly positive or negative discussions. The stock therefore receives a “hold” rating from the editorial team. The intensity or, to put it simply, the frequency of posts about a stock provides an indication of whether the company is currently the focus of much or little investor attention. There has been insignificantly more or less discussion about Livent than normal. This leads to a “hold” rating. Overall, this gives the stock a “hold” rating.